River bluff with fold frequency

Minimum fold frequency (%)

Pot40 BB

240 seconds remaining

Opponent folds: 50%

Opponent calls: 50%

BTN
Hero

↗ Bet 10 BB?

BB
Villain

Action: Check

Pure bluff: win the existing pot on a fold; lose the new bet on a call. Heads-up, without rake.

Round answers to two decimals. Positive EV gains, negative EV loses, zero breaks even.

.range-step{display:none!important} Minimum fold frequency (%)

Minimum fold frequency = Our bet ÷ (Current pot + Our bet) × 100

10 ÷ (40 + 10) × 100

Average gain from folds (BB)

Average gain from folds = Fold probability × Current pot

50% = 50 ÷ 100 = 0.5 → 0.5 × 40 BB

Average loss from calls (BB)

Average loss from calls = Call probability × Our bet

50% = 50 ÷ 100 = 0.5 → 0.5 × 10 BB

Average result (EV, BB)

Average result (EV) = Average gain from folds − Average loss from calls

Use the average gain and average loss from your previous calculations.