Semi-bluff all-in with supplied fold frequency and equity

Opponent’s additional call (BB)

Pot200 BB

300 seconds remaining

Opponent folds: 40%

Equity when called: 20.08%

BB
Hero

↗ All-in 300 BB?

BTN
Villain

Bet: 100 BB

.range-step{display:none!important} Opponent’s additional call (BB)

Opponent’s additional call = Hero’s all-in − Opponent’s bet already committed

300 − 100

Final pot on a call (BB)

Final pot on a call = Current pot + Hero’s all-in + Opponent’s additional call

200 + 300 + 200

EV when called (BB)

EV when called = Equity when called × Final pot on a call − Hero’s all-in

0.2008 × (200 + 300 + 200) − 300

All-in EV (BB)

All-in EV = Fold probability × Current pot + Call probability × EV when called

0.4 × 200 + (1 − 0.4) × [0.2008 × (200 + 300 + 200) − 300]